Marknadens största urval
Snabb leverans

Useless Arithmetic

- Why Environmental Scientists Can't Predict the Future

Om Useless Arithmetic

Noted coastal geologist Orrin Pilkey and environmental scientist Linda Pilkey-Jarvis show that the quantitative mathematical models policy makers and government administrators use to form environmental policies are seriously flawed. Based on unrealistic and sometimes false assumptions, these models often yield answers that support unwise policies. The book offers fascinating case studies depicting how the seductiveness of quantitative models has led to unmanageable nuclear waste disposal practices, poisoned mining sites, unjustifiable faith in predicted sea level rise rates, bad predictions of future shoreline erosion rates, overoptimistic cost estimates of artificial beaches, and a host of other thorny problems. The authors demonstrate how many modelers have been reckless, employing fudge factors to assure "correct" answers and caring little if their models actually worked.

Visa mer
  • Språk:
  • Engelska
  • ISBN:
  • 9780231132138
  • Format:
  • Häftad
  • Sidor:
  • 248
  • Utgiven:
  • 29. juni 2009
  • Mått:
  • 144x222x15 mm.
  • Vikt:
  • 316 g.
  Fri leverans
Leveranstid: 2-4 veckor
Förväntad leverans: 11. december 2024

Beskrivning av Useless Arithmetic

Noted coastal geologist Orrin Pilkey and environmental scientist Linda Pilkey-Jarvis show that the quantitative mathematical models policy makers and government administrators use to form environmental policies are seriously flawed. Based on unrealistic and sometimes false assumptions, these models often yield answers that support unwise policies. The book offers fascinating case studies depicting how the seductiveness of quantitative models has led to unmanageable nuclear waste disposal practices, poisoned mining sites, unjustifiable faith in predicted sea level rise rates, bad predictions of future shoreline erosion rates, overoptimistic cost estimates of artificial beaches, and a host of other thorny problems. The authors demonstrate how many modelers have been reckless, employing fudge factors to assure "correct" answers and caring little if their models actually worked.

Användarnas betyg av Useless Arithmetic



Hitta liknande böcker
Boken Useless Arithmetic finns i följande kategorier:

Gör som tusentals andra bokälskare

Prenumerera på vårt nyhetsbrev för att få fantastiska erbjudanden och inspiration för din nästa läsning.